hypothesis-development

name: hypothesis-development description: Generate grounded hypothesis table, grounding trace, and model map for quant manuscripts

Generate typed, grounded hypotheses for quantitative manuscripts with explicit traces to literature gaps, contribution claims, and model constructs.

Resolve active profile overlays and confirm method.family is quant
Adjust hypothesis type options based on method.subtype (e.g., panel designs support temporal hypotheses, cross-sectional designs prioritize synchronic relationships)
Parse gap_summary into numbered literature gaps (G1, G2 ...)
Parse contribution_claims into typed claims (C1, C2 ...)
Parse model_constructs into DVs, IVs, moderators, mediators
Generate candidate hypotheses anchored to gap + claim pairs
Assign each hypothesis a type (direct-effect, moderation, mediation, curvilinear)
State direction and theoretical justification for each hypothesis
Build hypothesis_grounding_trace linking H# to gap to claim
Build hypothesis_model_map linking H# to constructs and model layer
Apply hypothesis-grounding policy checks; flag violations
If analysis_findings provided, add confirmation/disconfirmation status to each H
Produce hypothesis_table with all fields

If method.family is not quant, warn and recommend theory-positioning or qualitative-coder skill instead
If gap_summary is missing, request literature synthesis output and pause
If contribution_claims is missing, infer from context with explicit warning
If model_constructs are missing, produce hypotheses with construct placeholders
If hypothesis-grounding check fails, mark affected H as provisional and add TODO