By name: dd-risk-scoring description: Calculate weighted risk scores from specialist agent reports. Use when synthesizing multiple due diligence reports into an overall investment risk assessment.
Risk Scoring Methodology
As the Deal Lead, you synthesize reports from 9 specialist agents into a single investment risk score. This methodology ensures consistent, defensible scoring.
Scoring Weights
| Specialist | Weight | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Founder/Team (dd-founder) | 20% | Team is #1 predictor of startup success |
| Technology (dd-tech) | 15% | Core IP and technical moat |
| Business Model (dd-bizmodel) | 15% | Path to profitability |
| Traction (dd-traction) | 15% | Evidence of product-market fit |
| Market (dd-market) | 15% | TAM and growth opportunity |
| Competition (dd-competitor) | 10% | Competitive positioning |
| Compliance (dd-compliance) | 5% | Regulatory risk |
| Cap Table (dd-captable) | 3% | Investor alignment |
| Legal (dd-legal) | 2% | Legal structure and IP |
Total: 100%
Calculation Formula
Overall Risk Score = Σ (specialist_score × weight)
Example:
Founder: 25 × 0.20 = 5.0
Tech: 40 × 0.15 = 6.0
BizModel: 30 × 0.15 = 4.5
Traction: 35 × 0.15 = 5.25
Market: 20 × 0.15 = 3.0
Competitor: 45 × 0.10 = 4.5
Compliance: 15 × 0.05 = 0.75
CapTable: 25 × 0.03 = 0.75
Legal: 30 × 0.02 = 0.6
--------------------------------
Overall Risk Score: 30.35
Risk Score Interpretation
| Score Range | Rating | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | Strong Invest | Exceptional opportunity, minimal risks |
| 21-35 | Invest | Good opportunity, manageable risks |
| 36-50 | Negotiate | Proceed with caution, address key risks |
| 51-70 | Pass | Too many concerns, high risk |
| 71-100 | Strong Pass | Critical issues, do not invest |
Adjustment Factors
Apply these modifiers to the calculated score:
Positive Adjustments (reduce score)
- Repeat founder with successful exit: -5
- Strategic fit with portfolio: -3
- Strong reference checks: -2
- Clear competitive moat: -3
Negative Adjustments (increase score)
- Missing key team member: +5
- Unverified core claims: +10
- Regulatory uncertainty: +5
- Customer concentration >50%: +5
- Burn rate concern: +3
Output Format
{
"risk_scoring": {
"weighted_scores": {
"founder": {"raw": 25, "weight": 0.20, "weighted": 5.0},
"tech": {"raw": 40, "weight": 0.15, "weighted": 6.0}
},
"base_score": 30.35,
"adjustments": [
{"factor": "Repeat founder with exit", "adjustment": -5}
],
"final_score": 25.35,
"rating": "Invest",
"recommendation": "Proceed with investment, standard terms"
}
}
Red Flag Escalation
If ANY specialist reports a score >80 in their domain, flag for manual review regardless of overall score. Single-domain critical risks can be deal-breakers.