niopd-pm-risk-analysis

name: niopd-pm-risk-analysis description: Conducts systematic risk assessment and mitigation planning. Use for project planning, launch preparation, investment decisions, or proactive issue prevention.

Risk Analysis Skill

This skill conducts systematic risk identification and mitigation planning using probability-impact assessment.

Theoretical Foundation

Risk Assessment Matrix

Risk Categories

Risk Response Strategies

• Avoid: Change plan to eliminate risk
• Mitigate: Reduce probability or impact
• Transfer: Shift to third party (insurance, vendor)
• Accept: Acknowledge and monitor

When to Use

• Project kickoff
• Sprint planning
• Launch preparation
• Quarterly reviews
• Major decisions

Instructions

Step 1: Identify Risks

For each category, brainstorm:

• "What could go wrong?"
• "What are we assuming will go well?"
• "What has caused problems before?"

Step 2: Assess Each Risk

Step 3: Prioritize

Focus on:

• High probability × High impact
• Issues with no current mitigation
• Risks outside our control

Step 4: Develop Mitigations

For priority risks:

• Mitigation Strategy: [How to reduce]
• Owner: [Who is responsible]
• Trigger: [When to escalate]
• Contingency: [If risk materializes]

Step 5: Create Monitoring Plan

• What indicators signal risk increase?
• How often to review?
• Who monitors each risk?

Step 6: Generate Report

File path: 02-reports/[YYYYMMDD]-risk-analysis-v0.md

Output Specifications

• File Naming: [YYYYMMDD]-risk-analysis-v0.md
• Location: 02-reports/
• Template: references/risk-analysis-template.md

Related Skills

• niopd-pm-dependencies: Dependency risks
• niopd-dt-scenarios: Future scenarios
• niopd-pm-release: Release risks
• niopd-pd-experiment: Validation planning